Updated Premier League Simulations after Matchweek 17

What are Arsenal's chances of winning the title?

Things are starting to heat up in the title race. Arsenal has hit a bit of bump in the road with a couple of unimpressive wins over Wolves and Everton, but still maintain a two point lead over Manchester City at the top of the Premier League table.

Aston Villa just won their 10th straight match in all competitions and are only three points behind Arsenal, as Unai Emery’s team is firmly in the title race.

So what are each team’s chances after Matchweek 17?

I have included simulations for the Premier League title, Top 4, Top 5, Top 6, Top 7, Top Half, and Relegation.

These simulations are based on my projections using a Monte Carlo Simulation to simulate the Premier League 10,000 times.

If you’d like to know how I did this, I did an article earlier this summer on it.